Gainesville, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

052
FXUS62 KJAX 220720
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
220 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, HYDROLOGY...

...INCREASING CLOUDS AND WARMER TODAY...

.NEAR TERM...
Issued at 207 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Increasing cloudiness today and warmer with less wind as a broad
area of low pressure forms across the southern Gulf today, then
crosses the FL peninsula this evening. There is a low (< 10%) of
light mainly coastal showers across NE FL this afternoon into the
early evening as the broad low tracks across south FL and a mid
level short wave trough passes overhead. With the warmer westerly
flow today, high temperatures will be about 10-15 degrees warmer
today and range from the low 60s across SE GA to near 70 across
our inland north-central FL zones.

The broad low tracks offshore away from the local waters tonight
as surface high pressure builds northwest of the region, with a
dry and cool low level NW drainage flow across the local area
under mostly clear skies. Continued with lows in the mid 30s
across SE GA where areas of frost are possible toward daybreak
Sunday morning with more mild lows in the low/mid 40s along the
coast and across the St. Johns River basin. A frost advisory may
be needed for portions of inland SE GA tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 207 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

On Sunday, an upper shortwave will swing through TX as an area of
low pressure begins to organize in the NW Gulf. High clouds will
increase from west to east through the day over the region ahead
of the approaching shortwave disturbance. The low will traverse
eastward across the Gulf Sunday and then across southern FL Monday
night. Light showers spread into the area late Sunday night into
Monday with the best chances south of the I-10 corridor.
Temperatures will be just below seasonable with highs in the 60s
to low 70s and lows in the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 207 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

Dry and warm days are in store Tuesday and Wednesday as high
pressure builds over the Gulf. The next cold front then passes
through the area on Thursday. Shower activity will be mainly
isolated with this frontal passage due to lingering drier air
aloft. Temperatures will be above seasonable through Thursday with
highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s to low 50s. Temperatures cool
down in the wake of the front on Friday with highs in the mid 60s
to low 70s and lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. With the warming
and moistening trend next week, fog potential is likely to return
during the early morning hours.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 101 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

Multi-layered cloudiness increases through the day as a broad,
weak surface low approaches the southern tier of the FL peninsula.
Continued to advertised prevailing VFR conditions although MET
guidance NBM gridded data indicates potential MVFR ceilings at
SGJ after 18z today. Trend to watch. NNE winds will become more E
after daybreak, then back NNW after 00z tonight with decreasing
low level clouds as surface low tracks eastward away from the
local area. Mid and high clouds will continue to stream over the
terminals after 00z tonight (Sat night).

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 207 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

A broad surface low crosses central Florida late today and tracks
NE of the local waters Sunday. High pressure builds north of the
waters Monday as another area of low pressure approaches south FL.
This low will track east of the waters into Tuesday as surface
high pressure builds across the eastern Gulf mid-week.

Rip Currents: Extended the high rip current risk for NE FL beaches
through this evening giving continued NNE winds and elevated seas,
especially for locations south of JAX Beach to Flagler Beach.
Moderate rip current risk today for SE GA beaches and all local
beaches Sunday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 207 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

River Flood Warnings continue for the Altamaha River at Baxley
and Charlotteville. The latest forecast shows Baxley reach Minor
flood stage after midnight tonight (2/23) and Charlotteville
rising into Minor flood stage Sunday afternoon (2/23).

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  59  35  63  42 /   0   0   0  20
SSI  59  43  62  47 /  10   0   0  20
JAX  64  41  67  46 /  10   0   0  20
SGJ  65  46  65  49 /  10   0   0  20
GNV  67  41  69  46 /   0   0   0  20
OCF  69  44  71  50 /  10   0   0  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EST this morning for FLZ021-023-024-
     030-120-220-322-422-522.

     High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ124-125-133-
     138.

GA...Freeze Warning until 8 AM EST this morning for GAZ132>136-149-
     151>153-162-163-165-250-264-350-364.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for
     AMZ474.

&&

$$